I couldn't dream of a better match for these H2H stupid bets that Bwin offers.
The rest are quite equal - Djoko - Murray, Gulbis - Blake, Tsonga - Del Potro, Rafa - Roger, Wawrinka - Berdych, etc.

But how on earth these guys came out to match up Verdasco - the player i expect to make a big impact on this tournament, against Stepanek - the one i expect to go lower and lower every next year, i have no idea.

The main reason here is that Stepanek needs to be super lucky at the draw and pick another dinosaure like himself in order to get one round passed.
I don't even see who he would be lucky to draw.... [read the entire article]

This is a bet that might bring money imo. Not that it will necessarily win but in case my expectations come true, this final might be 2-1 for the Europeans after day 2 and then could be easily covered.

The Spanish team will start the singles with Verdasco and Lopez and this i rate as 90% sure.
It would be crazy for Sanchez to let Ferrer play in the beggining on indoors carpet after his 2-6 latest record on fast surfaces.
He even lost to Lopez in 2 sets in Madrid.

Carpet is one of the surfaces where Nalbandian should perform good enough but there is a big question mark in my mind about Del Potro's... [read the entire article]

No doubts that Lopez is in a very good form, his serve works very well but there is a difference in class, Del Potro didn't impressed too much latest time because of his freshness, but here he should be prepare from this point of view. I think that this will be a game where both players will play well on their serves, few break-points but in the end Del Potro will be the winner.

Even though quite low odds here, i believe this one has a very good value and is quite close to be named "free money".

Ferrer is in terrible shape on hard and any fast surfaces. He has been losing in the first round in most of his tournaments this second half of the year and the only couple of wins are against some Suzuki and similar players.
He is useless on carpet by default but now in this real bad form, he stands no chance of winning this match.

I'm not surprised, i am shocked that the captain Sanchez has chosen David instead of Verdasco. I read this move as - OK, we have no chances at all, i will let my... [read the entire article]

The first match of the davis cup final is between argentinian David Nalbandian and the spanish David Ferrer. Nadal do not play in this final, and argetina looks the favourite to win. Ferrer have a final of the season very weak, but now for his country should give anything to win. He have 6-3 with Nalbandian, 2-2 in last 2 year. The difference is not so big between them, probably the odds are so high because the final of ferrer. I go with David here with a handicap, i don't think he can be beat so easy! Vamos Espana!

I disagree with people who say that Andy Roddick has got only his serve and nothing else. Ever since he fired Jimmy Connors his game play has been on the rise. Jimmy was destroying his game, what are now saying about Andy was true then, there was just a serve, serve, serve... the results he achieved were naturaly in accordance to that playing style, Ivo Karlovic like.

Andy I've seen in Paris made me remeber the old Andy Roddick (actually the younger Andy Roodick with more hair) that was running around after every ball and making spectacular shots. He's doing spectacular but he's full of confidence, his shots are accurate and powerful and net game is great as it... [read the entire article]

Here we are in the final game of the atp season. The final is between  DJOKOVIC ho get over Del potro, Davydenko in the group and over simon in semifinal and DAVYDENKO ho get over Tsonga , Del Potro and Murray in semi. Both player have play a good game, but davydenko looks more stronger, more rest and in a more good forme. Djokovic looks tired after the game with simon, and should have problem with the russian ho get very easy over murray in 2 sets, 7-5,6-2. In the group, djokovic win in 3 sets, 7-6,0-6,7-5 but now is more harder for him. I go with Davydenko because he play a more good tennis then Djokovic !

The reason is very simple - today Davydenko won the draw and left the serve to Murray
No one knows if he will do the same against Djoko but this might be his tactics against tired players and Djoko is in the same position as Murray was today.
At the end of the day Denko broke Murray in this first serve but it won't be so easy while Djoko is still comming from the locker room and had just warmed up. In games 3,5 or 7 he will break him but in the first - i doubt it.
In any case, this is almost a bet saying - who will win the coin... [read the entire article]

There is one major reason for this bet and it is the rookie mistake of Murray to go full power in the match against Federer.
I sincerely believe that no one could play his best tennis in the end of the year back to back after an exhausting physically and emotionally match against the playing legend of tennis.

Davydenko is playing a pretty similar tennis to Murray (or vice versa should i say), but more agressive. He try to shoot every ball as sharp as possible and never relies on slices or moon balls to get the rythm broken or get in position for next shot.

These days he showed the best tennis in this... [read the entire article]

I don't understand how in the semi finals of the tournament involving the top 8 players, there could be such odds.
Both these semies are expected to be very tight and inpredictable imo. So, instead of 1,80 - 2,20s, we get 3,10 and 3,00. This is already a good reason to consider both of these.

I'm not sure if the bookies watched Nole in his 3 group games, but i can say that i didn't see any good tennis in most of these.
Imo Novak deserves credit only for some of the games in the match against Davydenko, which was a match he should have lost but he somehow pulled it out.

Maybe the reason is that Simon's... [read the entire article]

Andy Murray to beat Roger Federer

2.34 at Betfair 5 units

Andy Murray qualified today for the semifinals with an easy victory over the in form Gilles Simon. Against Roddick, Murray had some weak moment (he said because of jet-lag), but against Simon he looked just fine as the weeks before. Murray played great over the whole summer and also in the indoor season just continues his great level, very steady , excellent returns and a good first serve. He already beat Federer in Madrid a few weeks ago and he surely can reach that same level at this moment.
Federer looked better at the US open, but still this season only won 1 grand slam and no master. He... [read the entire article]

Gilles Simon start favourite in this game, he has to win to have a chance to advance in the semifinal. Stepanek come in this tournament after roddick retire, and he is not on good forme. Simon beat Federer in first match, and loose with murray in second. Stepanek loose with federer in 2 sets very easy. In h2h is 1-0 for stepanek with a victory this year on clay at RG in 3 sets. But, Gilles is more stronger now and want to qualify to semi, a big chance tomorrow for him if he win !

It's hard to take a bet in such a match, where u literally should guess the motivation of one of the players.
Murray is already in the semies, so what would motivate him enough to play for a win here? Or the right question would be - what should he do to not play for the win? How would he drop out a match against Federer, that might cost some 500K, 500 ATP points, 200 race points, etc? (reference to the winnings of the unbeaten champion).
I cannot immagine Murray going on the court and not giving his best to win. Especially Murray, this cinical mister that i can't place in my top 10 of best human on earth...
[read the entire article]

First of all, this match has no importance whatsoever for the final ranking of the group. If Federer wins Murray he is in the semies, if he loses - Simon goes.
The match between Simon and Stepanek cannot change anything about that. Only if Simon withdraws for any reason, it could but this is the only way to affect the final ranking.

From the guys interviews (Simon, Murray, Federer) and also from the journalist's questions, it seems that no one knows about this fact. And if Simon doesn't realize it until the match, he will fight as his faith depends on it. But i'm quite sure he will understand this information. At the... [read the entire article]

Here we are in the semifinal. Simon play very well in the group, he beat federer and stepanek and loose at murray. He look very good on the back of the field, he have a super backhand a amaizing forehand. Djokovic is not on hid good forme, he loose at tsonga in the last match " without stake" , but tsonga really won that game. In h2h is 1-0 for simon after a match , this year at marseille when he won in 3 sets, 6-2,6-7,6-3. It will be a tie one, and i think the handicap is a little bigger. I Hope SImon win, and sure have the power!